Special guest punter: Adam ‘The Hippo’ Hyeronimous
Here’s a small sample of the dodginess going on this week:
Racing NSW issued 32 charges against the aforementioned Hippo & Waterhouse/Bott stablehand Blake Paine for punting-related offences, which has developed into their legal teams adjourning the Stewards Hearings in light of new evidence.
Apprentice Marnu Potgieter rode 4 winners at Mackay, despite the fact that he’s still charged by Victorian stewards with stomach-tubing Jamaican Rain at Flemington on Cup Day last year.
Ben Looker booted home Simply Sacred in Race 5 at Grafton on Thursday, only to be disqualified when he weighed in light on the 59kg handicap, after someone at Ed O’Rourke’s stable put a packing instead of a lead bag on the mare’s saddle.
Another brilliant way to do your dough.
It makes me think – The ABC would be at half mast at the thought of another Four Corners lashing of Australian racing….
If the ABC’s budget hadn’t been whittled to $3.50 a year.
And of course, all eyes were on Winx’s half-sister Covent Garden (In the white, green & gold) when she debuted at Canterbury on Wednesday, and did absolutely nothing on a track that was knee deep in mud.
Anyway, the Brisbane Carnival does go on, with the time-honoured Group 2 The Roses and the Dane Ripper, down south it’s the Winter Cup for the third-rate stayers at Rosehill, in Melbourne it’s the first meeting at Death Valley since the end of the night season in March (Apparently the track is only “80%”, up from the usual 10%)…
And another chapter in the Perth Winter is the G3 Hyperion Stakes, which could very well be the last appearance on a racecourse for dear old Black Heart Bart.
The Wizard is booked for 7 current favourites tomorrow.
There’s a good chance one of them will end up on here.
Probably in the last.
Lashes (No.10, Barrier 6) in Race 7 at Rosehill, 3:10pm AEST
1100m Catanachs Sprint (BM88 Handicap)
Trainer: Matthew Smith, Hoop: Kerrin McEvoy, 54.5kg
How many Lashes are James Squire up to now – 150, 300?
Of all the races on the Rosehill card, I’ve got no idea why I singled out Race 7.
Or why I’m taking on Adelong, who just keeps on winning, and actually drops 2 kilos on a last start win.
1st Up, Lashes was defeated 2.5L by a dominant Adelong back on the 16th of May at Rosehill (A slow getaway didn’t help), but an important note from that day, in the context of Saturday’s rematch, was that Adelong had a 4.5kg advantage on Lashes (55 versus 59.5).
This time around, the ‘turns have tabled’ – Going up in grade and having won again, Adelong gets 56, and Lashes drops back to 54.5kg.
Do the math, that’s a 6 kilo swing.
After that runner-up in May, Matty Smith sent Lashes back to the trials for a quick hit-out, which apparently went well, and just like last week at Randwick, Heavy track form will come to attention, and hers is ridgy didge – 2 wins and a 3rd from 3 starts on quagmires.
It matches her 2nd Up form – 2 wins and a 3rd.
So, to quote a Welshman playing a dwarf as to how this could end:
Vanna Girl (No.2, Barrier 13) in The Roses (BR7) at Eagle Farm, 3:22pm AEST
1800m Group 2 3YO Fillies
Trainer: Toby & Trent Edmonds, Hoop: Brad Stewart
A great clash of form between the fillies out of the Pam O’Neill, namely the quinella of Vanna Girl and Celestial Falls (Plus Shuhood and California Salto), versus the Gunsynd run of Sky Horse, who ran 3rd behind Ballistic Boy and Supergiant, who ran the quinella in the Rough Habit last week.
The Edmonds family pulled off a memorable win in last week’s Stradbroke, having plotted Tyzone’s path to the race for 12 months, and making the plan come together it like The A-Team.
Robbie Fradd played the role of Howlin’ Mad Murdock.
They’ll have another big shout at winning another Eagle Farm feature in The Roses, as Vanna Girl comes in flying like Neville Bartos off the back of a hat-trick of wins, most recently the Pam O’Neill, where she sat off the speed, and produced a cracking run home to overrun Celestial Falls.
Brad Stewart, one of Rod’s 35 illegitimate children that he’s unaware of, pulled that off from barrier 11, and assuming a runner on his inside gets scratched (The emergency has Barrier 1), he’ll jump from Barrier 12.
Up to the Eagle Farm 1800m, it looks a simple proposition of Vanna Girl just having to hold her form to be right in the finish as expected.
I can do nothing but dream.
Hang Man (No.6, Barrier 4) EACHWAY in Race 8 at Moonee Valley, 4:50pm AEST
2040m Inglis July Sales Series Handicap
Trainer: Mike Moroney, Hoop: James Winks, 57kg
I can’t quite work out the answer to this game of hang man…
I really only picked Hang Man so I could fire in that gag.
If picking Opacity at $4 last week was the equivalent of a 20/1 runner in a guide that backs favourites, then picking Hang Man, who’s currently on the third line at $6, is the equivalent of a 30/1 runner.
Hang Man was hung out to dry from the wide barrier in the last at Caulfield a fortnight ago – He was three-wide no cover the whole way, and he had to take off before the turn, but he still showed a bloody good fight, taking the lead at the 100m despite being entitled to fall in a hole, but the effort told as Mahamadeis swooped over the top to win thanks to a soft run, and Pacodali nudged out the tired gelding for 2nd on the line.
In his first trip to the Valley, he should be ready to fire 5th Up after that performance over 2000m, on a track that could be anywhere from a Soft 6 to a Good 4 and massively favouring leaders.
If they are on the top of the ground tomorrow, then that’s a bigger plus than the Swiss flag.
I should remember that Double You Tee beat home Hang Man in the Ballarat Cup, albeit at 2400m, and that market elects Harbour Views and Django Freeman are probably going to fight this one out, but if there’s one thing we know about The Valley, it’s that bullshit DOES happen.
Pike In The Last… *Snore.*
Not To Be Mist (No.12, Barrier 8) in Race 9 at Belmont, 4:42pm AWST (6:42)
1200m Seppelt Wines Handicap (78+ Rating)
Trainer: Adam Durrant, W.Pike, 55kg
If the classic theory of Greys In The Wet holds up here, then Not To Be Mist will definitely handle a highly likely Soft track at the first time of asking.
I had to dive into the history books to be sure, but I definitely picked the grey gelding in the Northerly silks for a blast out in the Cup Day Chalk Eaters last year, and the legends say that if you go to Ascot today, he’s still stuck on the rail, waiting for a run.
He ran 6th that day, at the skinny odds of 3/4 on, and just to piss me off, he won his next 3 starts, and the next time I backed him was at Pinjarra in January.
He ran 4th.
Still, he’s back tomorrow with a 1st Up record of 2 wins from 3 attempts, but, as previously mentioned, this is his first competitive run on a Soft track, which can bring down many a good-un, and he’s a good chance of getting back and having the exact same problem as Cup Day, but, forget all that, because he’ll have to watch out for something far more sinister.
His main rival, from The Boiler Room, weighing 287 pounds….
If Jade McNaught gets Mr Socko out, it’s all over, red rover.
The Cheetah’s Tip of the Day
LAYING Brimham Rocks (No.4, Barrier 1) in Race 5 at Eagle Farm, 2:02pm AEST
2400m Group 3 Tattersalls Cup
Trainer: Chris Waller, Jockey: Ryan Maloney, 57kg
Cheetah here, very willing participant in this week’s Chalk Eaters Guide.
I was flicking through the form for the big Eagle Farm meeting tomorrow, and noticed Chris Waller had 6 runners in Race 5 tomorrow.
I was intrigued by No.4 Brimham Rocks.
With that in mind, I was straight on the phone to my associate, who will be known for legal reasons as ‘Anthony’, and asked if he’d called Chris, and if Chris had given his thoughts on how the horse would run.
He said Chris gave him 2 words.
That’s enough for me.
Enjoy your Saturday – Cheetah signing off.
He’s not kidding – Chris Waller has 6 out of the 11 runners still in the field.
And it would’ve been 7/12, if Yulong Prince hadn’t accepted for Rosehill.
Categories: Horse Racing