THIS SATURDAY’S RULE: Back horses with an ‘S’ in their name.
As Big Gaz takes a weekend off, I’ve decided to try a different approach, by tipping with the trademark lisp of the Wizard of Odds, Ken Callander!
The old tongue’s gonna be bleeding profusely after this one Tappy!
Also just a note- Early start at Flemington due to extreme heat forecast in the late afternoon- Race 1 is now at 10:55am AEDT.
Flemington Race 2 (MR2), No.5 Schabau
Listed Roy Higgins Quality – 2600m- 11:25 AEDT
Opened at $2.40, now backed in to $2- Will be shorter if Surprise Baby races at Death Valley on Friday.
UPDATE: Turns out Surprise Baby did go to Moonee Valley, and was about to start favourite in Race 6- Then he reared up in the barriers and got scratched.
Robert Hickmott’s 4YO German import has impressed in his short time in Australia, winning both his starts over the 2000m at Flemington. His last win on the 16th of February was particularly good as he got leveled at the 300m by Looks Like Elvis and Prince Ziggy, but Mark Zahra got him to dig deep and win.
Hickmott has compared his lung capacity to 2007 Melbourne Cup winner Efficient, whom he worked with as a foreman for Lloyd Williams. Of course, Rob won the great race twice for Williams in 2012 (Green Moon) and 2016 (Almandin).
What’s also big for the 4YO is that he drops 3kg down to 54kg- Huge in a staying race.
This time around Craig Williams has the ride, and even though Rob has one eye towards the Spring, a win here can kick off a big start for the Super Saturday ‘S’ Betting Guide.
Apparently some mug punter plonked $6,000 at 51-1 on the 4YO to win the Melbourne Cup last week, and as we all know, futures bets on the Cup are completely safe.
Flemington Race 3 (MR3) No.7 – She’s So High
Listed Bob Hoysted Handicap- 1000m, 11:55 AEDT
Backed into $2.30.
The three ‘S’ combination, so she’s a certainty to cause a flood of spit.
Mick Price’s mare hasn’t raced since winning the G3 Proud Miss in Adelaide last May, but she’s 2/2 first up, and she’s had a jump out at Caulfield, followed by a slick trial at Cranbourne a fortnight ago.
If Ollie is in position to stalk the predicted leaders of Battle Hero and I Am Someone (Look out for Moonlover too), then this could be a ‘super’ result.
Randwick Race 6 (SR6) No.5 Winx
Group 1 Chipping Norton Stakes- 1600m, 3:40pm AEDT
Winx with a lisp sounds like Winks, so I’m claiming this.
Also, take Happy Clapper in the quinella.
Flemington Race 8 (MR8) No.15 Mystic Journey
Group 1 Australian Guineas- 1600m, 2:45pm AEDT
It’s a wide open field in this year’s Guineas and I’m in the corner of the filly from Tasmania, mainly because aside from Hawkshot, she’s the only leading contender with an S in her name.
MJ has a career record of 8 wins from 11 starts (Super!), including a Group 2 on Cox Plate Day, and her 2 runs in Tasmania this prep have been superb, storming home to win at 1100m (When she looked shot) and then beating the older horses at 1400m WFA on Hobart Cup Day.
So just like the other famous MJs in history, she’s a star.
But she will have to overcome the weight of history- In the 32 editions of the 3YO Classic, only 4 fillies have won (Triscay 1991, Miss Finland 2007, Shamrocker 2011, Mosheen 2012).
If the owners of Amphitrite slot an ‘S’ into her name by tomorrow morning, I’ll change my tip.
And of course, she won’t be the only Apple Isle entrant- Scott Brunton’s gelding The Inevitable will attempt to become the latest horse to do the CS Hayes-Guineas Double!
Unfortunately I couldn’t find room for Dixie Blossoms, so this joke will go missing:
The Mardi Gras Festival is winding up this weekend, and there’s gonna be plenty of people who love Dixie in that parade.
Kenneth me boy if you’d gone on much longer I reckon our camera man would’ve dead set drowned- And if you don’t get a pimple on your tongue after that lot old son, fair dinkum, it’d be a miracle.
‘John Tapp’ to ‘Ken Callander’, Wired World of Sports (1987)
Categories: Horse Racing