Horse Racing

The Chalk Eaters Guide: 7th November

As a Tiger Moth backer, I demand a recount of the RIGGED Melbourne Cup results

A bad case of not being ridden out by the jockey

Well, I had thought the McEvoys had missed the boat not backing up Victoria Quay in the VRC Oaks after the Wakeful on Derby Day, and after seeing Personal’s big finish yesterday, I’m absolutely certain they did.

On another note, why the hell couldn’t Personal have hit the line like that ON SATURDAY.

I COULD’VE HAD A PERFECT 4 TIPS ON HERE, DAMMIT.

Anyway, after an arduous week, the end of the 2020 Flemington Carnival is here with Stakes Day, and the WFA Group 1s – The Darley Classic, aka Everest 2.0, and the race that was so often the warm-up for the Melbourne Cup, the LKS Mackinnon Stakes, the traditional final Group 1 of the year in Melbourne.

Here’s a fun fact, considering it’s somewhat topical – You know who won the first running of the Mackinnon after it was renamed after former VRC chairman Lauchlan Mackinnon in 1937?

The Trump.

He won the Melbourne Cup 3 days later, completing the Cups double.

Looking further around the grounds, swampy Rosehill features the second running of the Golden Gift for the 2YOs and the Group 2 Hot Danish for the ladies, and over here in Wait Awhile, we’ll have the biggest lead-up race for the Railway Stakes in a fortnight – The Group 2 Lee Steere Stakes, featuring…

Kementari?

When the crap did Godolphin send him over?


Pondus (No.2, Barrier 8) in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes (MR5) at Flemington, 2:55pm AEDT

2600m Group 3 Quality

Trainer: Joseph O’Brien, Hoop: Damien Oliver, 58.5kg

The Queen Elizabeth has a reputation as a consolation race for the horses not quite good enough to fail in the Melbourne Cup, which was something that worked out well for Willie Mullins’ True Self last year, who went from a narrow Geelong Cup defeat to Prince Of Arran, to winning as just about the good thing of the whole 2019 Flemington Carnival.

True Self will be going around again to defend his title, but I’m not sure how well he’ll go, given this race also features Pondus, another of Lloyd Williams’ horde from Ireland, trained by the now 2-time Melbourne Cup winner Joseph O’Brien.

His 1st Up run in Australia in the Bendigo Cup was nothing short of fantastic, even in defeat.

He carried the top weight, jumped from Barrier 15, got caught in interference by a broken down horse, started a run from about 8 deep on the turn, yet still absolutely rocketed home, and only went down by a runny nose to Princess Jenni.

Assuming his luck turns even on Saturday, he’s going to go absolutely enormous again, and unsurprisingly, the money has absolutely flooded in off that Bendigo run, also possibly thanks to the great win of Twilight Payment for O’Brien and Williams.

If Pondus loses, I’ll say he won, consider this race rigged, and take everyone to court.


Wandabaa (No.10, Barrier 4) in the Hot Danish Stakes at Rosehill, 4:35pm AEDT

1400m Group 2 Fillies & Mares Set Weights

Trainer: Kris Lees, Hoop: Robbie Dolan, 57kg

You know what a Hot Danish is?

Caroline Wozniacki.

That is all.

So last week I conjured up one of my all time pieces of bullshit with Colette in the Golden Eagle, picking her on the basis of her Heavy form, which, rather fittingly, held water.

Well, the track conditions are pretty much the dead same in Sydney a week later, so I’ll stick with that same line of thinking in the Group 2 with ‘Das’ Wandabaa from the Coalfields/Gary Harley Country.

Fancy that, I’ve turned into a value chaser, at all of $5.50.

Wandabaa has a fairly decent record of 7 wins and 8 placings from 17 starts, she has a gaggle of Group 3 placings this spring, and most recently, she started slowly and ran home hard for 2nd to Positive Peace in the Nivison at Randwick, which was obviously on a Heavy track, slightly dropping her slop form to a win and a runner-up from 2 starts.

The Heavy track doesn’t seem to be the main question, but instead, it’s can she run a good 1400m, given she’s still yet to win at 7 furlongs from 3 attempts, although she did place every time.

She’s a damn consistent mare, and I’ll give her every chance of atoning against Positive Peace, and running an old-fashioned bottler in a decent field.


Arcadia Queen (No.9, Barrier 5) in the Mackinnon Stakes at Flemington, 5pm AEDT

2000m Group 1 Set Weight For Age

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams, Hoop: Luke Currie, 57kg

With a certain Wizard heading back to The West as of today, after ending his Melbourne sojourn by fittingly winning aboard a favourite in the last on Oaks Day, Mr Peters has gone to the most popular jockey on the subcontinent, Luke Currie.

If you think Steve Waugh is popular with the good folk of India, just wait until you tell them Currie is at Flemington.

After the superb Caulfield Stakes win over Russian Camelot in a straight-up match race, the Cox Plate just never went right for Arcadia Queen, given the Soft track was never in her favour, at least compared to the Europeans, then she got checked and nearly threw Pike off down the back of the course, but was still good enough to hammer home for 5th.

It’s worth noting the Queen hit the line with Mugatoo (Push pineapple shake the tree) in that Cox Plate, who covered about 2400m instead of 2040m in an enormous run, and he’s been well respected off that run.

Still, back on top of the ground, I’ll don my Swan Draught cap and favour the Sandgroper, in what is a smaller but very solid Weight For Age field.

Melody Belle has been beating up the sheep shaggers across the ditch and comes back for another crack at the Mackinnon after the 2019 defeat to Magic Wand, Shout The Bar is going for 2 Flemington G1s in a week, Fifty Stars is the reigning Australian Cup winner, Mugatoo also ran 2nd in a Metrop alongside his Cox Plate run, Harlem somehow won 2 Australian Cups, and Mr Quickie won the Toorak two starts back.

If there’s enough left in the tank for AC after a big prep, I’ll back her to the hilt.


Piss Poor Perth Punting


As mentioned in the ‘pre-ramble’, the biggest major lead-up to the Railway Stakes is the Group 2 Lee Steere Stakes, named of course after former WATC chairman Sir Ernest Lee-Steere, the most prominent member of the Lee Steere family, one of the well-documented ‘Six hungry families’ of Western Australia pre-Federation.

It’s one of those easy to confuse names – You look at the name Lee Steere and think it’s pronounced as it were spelled, but from what I’ve heard, it’s closer to ‘Les Steere’, as if the family had descended from France.

Still, there’s only 2 weeks to go until the Railway, and the R.J Peters next week is the lucky last test.


Elite Street (No.9, Barrier 7) in Race 9 at Ascot, 5:30pm AWST (8:30)

1100m 72+ Rating Amelia Park Handicap

Trainer: Daniel Morton, Hoop: Brad Parnham, 56.5kg

Here we have Elite Street, located next door to Easy Street, Wall Street, 42nd Street, Sesame Street, Ramsay Street, and Baker Street.

You’ll notice in Elite Street’s form that he was disqualified from a race he won at Belmont back in July, when the gelding presented traces of the illegal drug Heptaminol, which Dan Morton was rightly given a clip over the ears for.

Anyway, Elite Street may have lost that win, but he sure as hell didn’t 1st Up, when he won brilliantly after racing wide throughout, yet still careered away and won like a horse destined to win bigger races.

In that win he gave Battle Storm a dry licking, and they both come in here with unbeaten 2nd Up records, then you have my old mate Cliffs Of Comfort, randomly dropping down from 1200 to 1100 off the back of a 3rd to Laverrod, which is either going to hold up well, or he’ll get caught out by a hot tempo.

Then there’s Long Beach, who I don’t care about for the purposes of time, because I’m going for a cruise down Elite Street, BABY.


Crazy Craig’s Lucky Lips Tip Of The Day


Bivouac (No.3, Barrier 6) in the Darley Classic at Flemington, 3:25pm AEDT

1200m Group 1 SWFA

Trainer: James Cummings, Jockey: Glen Boss, 58.5kg

G’day folks, it’s Crazy Craig, The Boy From Bairnsdale, still dropping pineapples on the pavement, and let me tell you, I am absolutely SEETHING after that pea-hearted effort by Cordilla on Tuesday!

Not only is that bootlicker in my Clan O’Sullivan ‘Heart as big as a PEA‘ file, but to cap it off, my Lucky Lips were superseded by Rich Hips!

Apparently all I can do is sit here and cop it sweet from the sanctuary of the Crazy Cave!

Speaking of Crazy Caves, I think that’s where our old mate Donald is currently residing!

Anyway knackers, I backed Santa Ana Lane in the Darley last year, and watched Nature Strip take to him with a whipper snipper, and having learned nothing, I’ll go with the similar form line of the Everest runner-up, this time with Bivouac, to beat the horse who could very well be the four-legged Crazy Craig!

Why do I say that?

Because you never know what Nature Strip’s going to do next, LIKE ME!

So, it’s another quality field in the old Darley Classic up the FAMOUS Straight Six, with an almighty clash between the form from the Everest, Manikato, and some other races that aren’t worth mentioning!

Bivouac returns to Flemington for the first time since he won the Newmarket in March under the urgings of Group 1 Glen Boss, having previously run 2nd in the Coolmore this time last year, and although he hasn’t won since that Newmarket, both his runs this Spring have been fantastic, with a 3rd in The Shorts, before he gained the honour of being the first home behind the DOMINANT Classique Legend in The Everest!

I recall reading the Bossman thought Classique Legend was the only horse who could beat Bivouac, and he was RIGHT!

So in conclusion, this will almost certainly go tits up, just like most of my adventures with Crazy Colin, and of course, I haven’t had a win in a good 6 weeks, but do I care?

Of course I don’t, I’m Crazy!

Go on Bivouac, my tip of the day.

I’m Crazy Craig, and that’s why they call me Craaaaazy Craig!


Crazy Craig, proving that if you throw enough crap at a wall, eventually it’s going to stick.

Unless it’s coated in Teflon.

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