Based on a series of plausible events in a regional Victorian town
Hello once again assorted strangers and people who clicked on a link to this post and are now giving me the finger, it’s time for another Saturday of absolute tipping failure, with a mere two Group 1s split across Randwick and Caulfield, and of course, the weekday highlight isn’t today’s Newcastle Cup, it was the legal back and forth between Jamie Kah, via her barrister, and the owners of Incentivise.
The whole thing started at a VRT hearing on Wednesday when Kah’s barrister Damian Sheales claimed that his client had been booked to ride Incentivise in the Makybe Diva last weekend, and had subsequently lost a good 5 figures as a result of it winning….
Although, the horse’s part-owner Brae Sokolski emerged and said she’d never been booked for the ride, and that they only made the call to engage Brett Prebble after the Mornington Airbnb shitstorm went down (A field of two down to a field of one), and I suppose it was ironic that Sheales made that claim, given his client had been charged with providing false and/or misleading evidence to the Victorian stewards about Mark Zahra’s appearance at their little shindig….
That comment by Sokolski about a field of two being narrowed down to a field of one has to be the best unintentional burn since Joe Biden forgot Scott Morrison’s name.
And another unusual event this week was that a day after the owners of Ayrton rejected a $2 million offer from Hong Kong, the gelding’s spring is all but ruined by an apparent spider bite that turned his near hind leg lame, and unfortunately it’s not the first time we’ve lost an Ayrton due to a freak accident.
So with those calamities out of the way, it’s time for the first Group 1 double of the season, the George Main Stakes at Randwick, or as it was formerly known, the Colgate Optic White Stakes, and the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield, which has sprouted wings after it got split off from the Underwood a few years ago, and another race I’d mention is the Pink Ribbon Cup on the Gold Coast, given my aunty Jo is a breast cancer survivor, and you may not know this, but it’s the largest annual community fundraising event for the National Breast Cancer Foundation…
Good on everyone up on the Glitter Strip for making that possible.
So on that note, it’s on to ‘Crazy’ Craig for his Picks of the Day, and accompanying him as always, it’s the familiar sound of Cliff Richard covering Ruth Brown, because he’s got LUCKY LIPS!
Although based on his recent results, there’s a few people who’d call bullshit on that….
Value Pick of the Day: Timson (No.8, Barrier 8) in Race 4 at Caulfield (MR4), 2:15pm AEST
1400m Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude
Trainer: Symon Wilde, Jockey: Dean Yendall, 56kg
Hello hello everyone it’s Crazy Craig, the Boy From Bairnsdale, trying to get my first win on a Saturday in about 7 years, but you know what I’m gonna do if I don’t pick a winner this week?
I’M GOING TO COME STRAIGHT BACK NEXT WEEK AND TRY AGAIN!
Because I’m bloody CRAZY!
So this week I’ve got to go have a look at bloody Caulfield, the place with more broken punting dreams than the Bellagio Casino, and for some reason, I’m having a look at the Caulfield Guineas prelude, where at least 7 out of the 9 horses have got a realistic chance of winning, and for some reason, I’ve gone for a nag with a perfect 1 win from 1 start, Timson, who is apparently named after the son of someone called Tim!
The ghostly grey gelding is trained by Symon Wilde, who is obviously named in the same manner as Wynstan with a Y, and he made his debut in a Casterton maiden a few weeks ago, and after settling well off the pace, he absolutely rocketed home and won, and straight off the back of that, he’s gone straight to town!
You know what I call that?
It appears the turkeys with cash agree, because he’s been backed in from $17 to $7.50, and I suppose I’m one of those turkeys going gobble gobble on Timson, because he can seriously measure up against a bunch of 3 year olds with hearts as big as peas, in what is a very thin edition of the Guineas Prelude…
Which is no different to most editions of the Guineas Prelude!
So there you – Timson, son of Tim, is my VALUE PICK OF THE DAY.
Pick of the Day: She’s Ideel (No.14, Barrier 2) in the Kingston Town Stakes at (SR9) Randwick, 4:35pm AEST
2000m Group 3 SW+P
Trainer: Bjorn Baker, Jockey: Jason Collett, 53kg
On to the Pick of the Day, which should realistically be called the Non-Winner Of The Day, and I figured I’d stay with a horse that I picked last start that had a heart as big as a pea, She’s Ideel, who is still on a Metropolitan Handicap & Melbourne Cup path, and this is a perfect step up in distance, because having competed in a 1400m Group 1 and a 1600m Group 2, both at Weight For Age, she now goes to a 2000m Group 3 handicap, and she drops down to 53 kilos!
Of course, you’ll look at that run in the Chelmsford and think, “Geez, he really IS Crazy Craig!”, because she needed a vet check before the race after losing the near-fore plate, then she had to make her run on the rail, which was the worst part of the track all day at Randwick back on the 4th of September, and it was a bigger crap shoot than Crazy Colin trying to organise a Christmas present!
So on that note, here’s why I went with the Kiwi mare, who is only Ideel in name and name only:
- I’m not all there, don’t you worry about that
- She’s drawn to do absolutely no work from Barrier 2, assuming COLLETT ACTUALLY USES THE BLOODY BARRIER
- She’s won 2/2 goes at the Randwick 2000m, and from what I’ve seen, the track might just stay in the Soft range, where she’s won 3 times and placed twice from 5 goes!
- She comes up against Montefilia once again, who ran 3rd in that Chelmsford first up at the mile, but a big key for She’s Ideel is that with the shift to set weights + penalties, she gets a 4.5 kilo weight swing her way!
In this day and age of people banging on about horses being unable to carry high weights and having to beat the handicapper, 4.5 kilos in a 10 furlong race is a bigger swing than John Daly off the tee at Crooked Stick in 1991!
So there you go, She’s Ideel is my PICK OF THE DAY, and on another note, I know he was a farkin’ legend, why the hell does Kingston Town get two Group races named in his honour?
He’s got the Group 1 Kingston Town Classic over there in the Wild Wild West, and that should be all he needs – Even bloody Phar Lap only got 1 race named after him, and it’s a Group 2!
Categories: Horse Racing