Based on a series of plausible events in a regional Victorian town
Caulfield Cup value pick = Young Werther
Everest value pick = Gytrash
Well strangers and randoms, it’s Super Saturday, which also doubles as my birthday (Go me), and I’ll leave you to take your pick as to what the big race of the day is on this unholy Saturday, in this ever-annoying Sydney vs Melbourne pissing contest.
The traditional Caulfield Cup, considering it’s one of the four major races of Australian racing, in which Incentivise will jump from Caulfield train station at $2.50, and The Everest, with a world-best $15,000,000 prize pool that Scrooge McDuck would happily drown in, but to me, the one true feature race of the day is…
I tell ya, there’s some great races named after songs in Australia; The Bat Out of Hell at the Gold Coast, the Hair of the Dog at Gundagai, and ‘The Kosi’, which was clearly named after the second-best song from Red Sails In The Sunset.
Of course, the big development on a punting front is that it’ll be a quagmire at both Royal Randwick and The Heath, after Sydney was annihilated by that bastard of a superstorm on Thursday, and the overnight forecast for Melbourne was rain rain and more rain, off the back of the 14.8mm on Thursday that sent the track down into the Soft range.
Looking at the other semi-exciting races around the country, the Caulfield support card includes the Group 2 Tristarc and the Caulfield Sprint, while over here in Wait Awhile To Open The Border, the first feature of the Ascot Carnival is the Group 2 Northerly Stakes, and it’s fitting that the race will be run the same weekend that we celebrate 25 years since The Fighting Tiger was foaled, and of course, Fred Kersley’s champion won the Caulfield Cup in 2002 with Greg Childs lugging 58kg:
So on that note, it’s on to ‘Crazy’ Craig for his Picks of the Day, and accompanying him as always, it’s the familiar sound of Sir Cliff Richard covering Ruth Brown, because he’s got LUCKY LIPS!
Pick of the Day: Colette (No.2, Barrier 3) in the Tristarc Stakes at Caulfield (MR7), 3:45pm AEDT
1400m Group 2 Mares Set Weights & Penalties
Trainer: James Cummings, Jockey: Damian Lane, 58kg
Hello hello everyone, it’s Crazy Craig, the Boy From Bairnsdale, and haven’t I seen a few things this week!
A few days ago, I got up in the morning, looked out the window, and down the street there was some lunatic riding on his bicycle, IN HIS PYJAMAS, who said he was going down to the shops to buy a few things, but he was using it as an excuse to do a few tricks, because he was a bloody HOON…
It turned out to be CRAZY BLOODY COLIN!
THE COPS CAME AND GOT HIM!
My fridge is now stocked and safe!
So with another threat to society dealt with, it’s time to look at Caulfield Cup day, and if you think I’m going to bloody well touch the Caulfield Cup, well, you clearly haven’t realised that I’m CRAZY for a reason!
After last week’s Pick Of The Day success with Delphi, who would’ve comfortably beaten that FRAUD Floating Artist if he hadn’t been scratched, I’ve decided to look at the mares in the Tristarc Stakes, because if this Caulfield track is as wet as advertised, then you’ll need to back a mudder, and COLETTE IS A MUDDER.
4 starts on Soft tracks for 2 wins and a 2nd, including a win over Verry Elleegant in the 2021 Apollo Stakes, and most notably, she’s had 3 goes on Heavy Tracks, and won all 3 races – Last year’s Adrian Knox in a canter, the ATC Oaks a week later in a canter, and the Golden Eagle at Rosehill in a thriller, and I bloody well remember that, because I picked her at 10/1!
It’s also worth noting that the mare’s last 4 starts dating back to the Autumn have all been in Group 1 company, with barely a decent wet track in sight, whereas this race is a Group 2 mares race that’s got a field thinner than Naomi Campbell!
A big drop in grade if you ask me, and she’s finally got the conditions to suit!
So there you go, much like the actress that shares her name, Colette is the top of the tree, pick of the orchard, PICK OF THE DAY.
As for the others…. HEARTS AS BIG AS PEAS, THE LOT OF THEM.
Value/Each-Way Pick of the Day: Bargain (No.12, Barrier 8) in Race 8 at Randwick, 4:50pm AEDT
2000m Group 3 SWFA Craven Plate
Trainer: Mark Newnham, Jockey: Robbie Dolan, 56kg
On to the value pick, and naturally I’ve got to try and look for something at Randwick on Everest Day, and after 2 minutes of deliberation, I’ve decided to go hunting for a Bargain in the Craven Plate, 35 minutes after those Cockroaches run The Everest.
Nothing to do with shopping, I just like the horse!
Sure you’ll look at the field for the Craven, which has no relation to Craven Mild cigarettes, and see that Think It Over is a clear top pick, and there’s at least 5 other horses who would have better natural ability, and despite being thrown straight in the deep end of WFA racing, I think there’s a few factors that make Bargain worth at least a place bet.
First of all, the stats show she’s utterly useless on dry ground, with just 2 placings from 9 starts, but on Soft going she’s scored 2 wins and 2 placings from 6 starts, so much like Colette, the change in weather will be right up her alley!
She comes into this off the one week back-up from last week’s Angst Stakes, and to say she was luckless in finishing 9th is selling it short:
“Approaching the 200m, was held up when endeavouring to secure a narrow run. Near the 200m was accidentally struck across the head by the whip of another rider before being shifted inwards. Continued to be held up, and inside the 100m was disappointed for clear running and as a consequence could not be ridden out to the finish.”
If she didn’t have bad luck, she wouldn’t have any luck at all!
And finally, Mark Newnham’s mare will get a go at the 2000m 3rd Up, and she’s placed 2nd in both previous goes at 10 furlongs, one being a 2nd in the Adrian Knox to the handy Duais, who only 2 days ago won her way into the Caulfield Cup, and the 3rd Up stats are solid, because one of her two career wins was a 3rd Up maiden win at Newcastle last year!
It’s also worth noting that a few races after the calamity of Bargain last week, Robbie Dolan, the Irishman from Ireland, broke through for his first Group 1 win aboard Profondo, so hopefully young Robert still has that semblance of confidence in his riding ability, because with my lack of reputation on the line, BARGAIN is my Value Pick of the Day.
Anyway friends, stay safe, keep your eyes on the road, don’t be a stranger, or throw your phone in the river, have a nice day, and remember, I’m Crazy Craig, and that’s why they call me Craaaaaazy Craig!
Categories: Horse Racing