Based on a series of plausible events in a regional Victorian town
So on the night of the William Reid Stakes to end the main part of the Melbourne Autumn, we look ahead to the last day of the Rosehill Carnival with the Group 1 double of the Tancred Stakes and the Vinery Stud Stakes, the Mornington Cup Carnival at the hellhole that is Mornington Racecourse, the Group 3 WA Oaks at Ascot, all capping off yet another rain filled March.
This week also featured the sad news that Lloyd Williams’ favourite horse Zipping died in a paddock accident aged 20, and Zipping was one of the great late bloomers – a 4-time Sandown Classic winner (All past the age of 6) who had the race renamed in his honour, he was a 2-time Group 1 winner in 2010 (Australian Cup & Turnbull Stakes), and he had 4 cracks at the Cox Plate, finishing runner-up to So You Think in 2010:
True story, Zipping was the first horse I ever drew in a school Melbourne Cup sweep, when he ran 4th in 2006 with Glen Boss aboard.
Unfortunately for me, they were only giving prizes down to 3rd…. It was the first time in my life I experienced the feeling of finishing ****in’ Fourth Again.
Of course, the other bit of news today is that Darren Weir’s (Plus Jarrod McLean’s and Tyson Kermond’s) trial date has been set for October 31…
By sheer coincidence, the Melbourne Cup is on the very next day.
So it’s on to Crazy Craig, and I think last week might serve as further proof of karma, because he gave away a few scratchies during the week, and next thing you know, his Value bet I’m Thunderstruck charged into 2nd in the All-Star Mile, and the Musical Pick of the Day in Mazu won convincingly.
I think Craig might be sticking to the same formula this week, and on that note, here’s Cliff Richard telling everyone that he’s got LUCKY LIPS!
Pick of the Day: Duais (No.11, Barrier 2) in the KIA Tancred Stakes at Rosehill (SR7), 3:55pm AEDT
2400m Group 1 WFA
Trainer: Edward Cummings, Jockey: Josh Parr, 56.5kg
Hello hello everyone it’s Craaaaazy Craig, and I’ve only got time to make 1 pick this weekend, and before I tell you, do you know what I did with the money I made on I’m Thunderstruck and Mazu?
I spent it all on scratchies, and I told the newsagent to KEEP GIVING THEM AWAY to people who look down on their luck!
They say that when life gives you lemons you make lemonade, well, life has given me lemons, I’ve made the lemonade, and now I’m giving it away free of charge, because the look on their faces is worth the price!
So moving on from stories of good karma, we’re going on to Rosehill, where I’ve gone for the Pick of the Day in the feature Tancred Stakes, the only Weight For Age 2400m Group 1 race in Australia – In fact, the only other WFA race over 2400m in Australia is the Group 2 Zipping Classic!
Anyway, it’s a very good edition of the Tancred, with the likes of Think It Over and Spanish Mission in the field, but in a classic piece of chalk eating, I keep coming back to Edward Cummings’ Australian Cup winner Duais, who has been given a near total lack of respect by people that should know more than me!
Prior to the mare’s Australian Cup win, she ran in the Chipping Norton on a Heavy 10 bog at Randwick, and she really did put the writing on the wall as she got brutally held up from the 400m to the 200m before savaging the line to run 6th by 2 lengths, with plenty of people mounting an argument she coulda woulda shoulda won the race, and two weeks later with a bit more luck in the Australian Cup, she sat off the speed and absolutely romped home down the outside in the straight to win the race!
Now she goes in 4th Up to the 2400m, where she had success in the Queensland Oaks last year, Edward Cummings has her absolutely rock hard fit and racing in career best form, Josh Parr sticks aboard, and obviously she’s going to have beat a couple of good ones in She’s Ideel, Think It Over and Spanish Mission, but if you ask me, there’s just one problem for Spanish Mission on Saturday….
HE HATES WATER MORE THAN A BLOODY CAT DOES!
Despite being an imported Soap Dodger who does his best work at the staying distances, he’s NEVER raced on a Heavy track, and with the rain in Sydney in the last few days, it’s going to be in the region of a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 track!
Furthermore, he only had 2 starts on Soft tracks back in the UK, one of which was a win on a track that more good than Soft, and the other saw him get pasted by 15.9 lengths in the 2020 Long Distance Cup at Royal Ascot, which led to his owners avoiding rain-affected tracks like Scottish people avoid salads!
Think It Over – He can’t run a good 2400m!
And as for She’s Ideel…. Well, she’s actually a good bet at the odds!
So now that I’ve declared at least two horses to have hearts as big as peas, I think Duais will be STRIPPED DOWN and READY to RUMBLE in a bid to match Makybe Diva’s Australian Cup-Tancred double in 2005, and for that reason, she’s my PICK OF THE DAY.
Enjoy your Saturday folks, stay safe, stay negative, KEEP YOUR EYES ON THE ROAD, and remember, I’m Crazy Craig, and that’s why they call me Craaaaaazy Craig!
Categories: Horse Racing