Horse Racing

Crazy Picks of the Day: 20th November

Special guest texter tipster: Tim Paine

To come to think of it, Tim Paine’s captaincy of Australia started thanks to a disgraceful incident involving balls, so it’s only appropriate that it’s ended thanks to a disgraceful incident involving balls…. and a shaft.

On that note, hello once again friends and strangers, it’s winding down to the end of November, Jamie Kah got her first win in 3 months at the Supreme Court on Wednesday, and it’s another solid Saturday of galloping, with the Ballarat Cup in the Goldfields, featuring a few Magic Millions races, the Mooloolaba Cup at the Sunshine Coast, and following on from The Hunter last week, the Sydney circus is off to Kembla Grange for The Gong and the inaugural edition of The Warra, which are yet another example of Racing NSW making races that sound like Seinfeld episode titles.

“The Gong – Elaine accidentally steals an antique gong from a Chinese restaurant and hides it in Jerry’s apartment.”

Now I don’t like to speak Illawarra, but I can’t get a winner at Kembla on a Tuesday or a Thursday, let alone a standalone Saturday.

So while all that goes on over in the East, the big event the weekend takes place over here in the hermit kingdom of Wait Awhile, a few hours after Italian Night at Gloucester Park winds up, is the time-honoured Group 1 Railway Stakes, the biggest day of the Perth racing season, just shy of the 10th anniversary of Luckygray knifing He’s Remarkable in the steward’s room, which went all the way to the Supreme Court of WA:

That said I do think it was fair enough upholding Shaun O’Donnell’s protest

And what do you know, once again the red hot Railway favourite is a horse owned by Bob Peters, trained by Grant & Alana Williams, and ridden by none other than:

They’ve done a hat-trick in the last 3 years with Galaxy Star, Regal Power & Inspirational Girl, and now Western Empire, appropriately named for Peters Investments, is $1.80…

They might jump the fence at Ascot if he crumbles and gets a Kissonallforcheeks.

Now, with all that out of the way, it’s up to me to crash this Crazy picking ship into an iceberg with Crazy Craig too busy stealing Crazy Colin’s tomatoes (Allegedly), so here’s my not-so Crazy picks, and this week’s theme song, for absolutely no reason at all, is Every 1’s a Winner by Hot Chocolate:

Pick of the Day: Dragonstone (No.8, Barrier 7) in Race 3 at Kembla Grange (SR3), 1:30pm AEDT

1000m BM78 Handicap

Trainer: Mark Newnham, Jockey: Tyler Schiller (a3), 52.5kg

My good acquaintance The Gabster always tells me and everyone else in earshot not to bet in 1000 metre races, but then again, Gabby is 95 and bets in 1000 metres races all the time, which he doesn’t realise at the time, an error that is usually followed by his near-catchphrase “If I knew it was a 1000 metre race I wouldn’t have bet in it!”

Ah Gab, you silly old bugger.

So the favourite for Race 3 at Kembla is 3-year-old Dragonstone, by Japanese sire Mikki Isle, and it appears Mark Newnham has a decent opinion of Dragonstone, throwing him in Open grade in his first start as a 3-year-old, just his fourth start overall, despite 3-year-olds typically having a shoddy record in open Benchmark races against the more experienced horses.

The lightly raced gelding made his debut at a mundane 6-horse Canterbury maiden back in June, running a narrow 3rd, in which a horse named Fangirl also made her debut and ran 4th, and if you’ll allow me to refresh your memories, Fangirl did this in the Group 3 Carbine Club at Flemington on Derby Day:

In retrospect, that could be a serious form reference, because Dragonstone, despite being fairly small and as green as a marijuana plantation, went on to break his maiden next start at Warwick Farm, then finished 2nd to Sky Command at Randwick to end his winter, and another note I’d make is that all of those starts were on rain-affected tracks, and his only trial (Which he won) was on Good going, and being bred by a Japanese stallion, dry ground should hypothetically be his best surface.

Of course, being a 3-year-old in open grade means he gets in really well in the weights at 52.5kg, and the apprentice Tyler Schiller does have a 3-kilo claim if he wants it, although how much of it he actually uses I’ve got no idea, so hopefully young Tyler can just sit off the speed, peel out and have the final crack at the leaders, and as for his nearest rival Satin Ribbons, herself a 3-year-old, I prefer VELVET.

It’s going to be hard topping the success of the Random Lou Gramm Pick, but here we go with:

The Random Jerry Harrison Pick: Revitup (No.6, Barrier 4) in Race 2 at Ascot (PR2), 12:45pm AWST

1100m 2YO SW Magic Millions Crystal Slipper Stakes

Trainer: Dion Luciani, Jockey: Brad Parnham, 54.5kg

Steering with her knees
She’s got both hands free
Using the cruise control
You know, reaching over
She likes to tease

She said, “Ride”, Revitup, Revitup, little boy and ride!

It’s as if Jerry Harrison is telling Brad Parnham how to ride the filly.

Value Pick: Outlaws Revenge (No.2, Barrier 8) in Race 10 at Ballarat (MR8), 5:40pm AEDT

1100m Magic Millions Ballarat 3YO & 4YO Classic

Trainer: Ryan Balfour, Jockey: Damien Thornton, 59kg

Well, considering Bill Munny was a murderer, this scene was technically an Outlaws Revenge

Another bunch of South Australian bandits have crossed into Victoria via Horsham in search of money and employment, and their target is the frozen tundra of Ballarat, where 15 degrees Celsius is considered tanning weather.

The plucky Croweating bandit in this case is Ryan Balfour, possibly named after the famous South Australian bakery that produces the Pie floater, and his sprinter Outlaws Revenge, who comes to the Goldfields for the 3 & 4YO Magic Millions Classic race, his first Victorian start off the back of a 1st Up 2nd to Tequila Time at Morphetville, and for some reason, he might just be the value pick in a race where there seems to be plenty of it, with Marine One the only horse under $6.

Judging by the ever unreliable speed maps, it’s going to be pretty hot race, with at least 6-7 horses that could go up and contest for the lead, which means that there’s every chance the tempo could work in favour of the horses sitting off the midfield, which is exactly where Outlaws Revenge usually does his best work, and you’d have to think Damien Thornton should have no issue settling there from Barrier 8.

So all that said, he’s 2nd Up now with the run in the legs, going up to the 1100m is a plus, and with the predicted speed, he should be able to charge late and have the final say at a few tired horses when the whips are cracking, and with a bit of luck, he’ll be running close enough to the Top 3, and then we can say the Outlaw has had his Revenge.

So that’s enough rambling from me, enjoy your Saturday and the rest of the weekend, and keep your eyes on the road!

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